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National Hurricane Center tropical system sarasota manatee

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Staff report
| Sarasota Herald-Tribune

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The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico that is expected to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to Sarasota and Manatee counties in the coming days. The system is located almost directly west of the Sarasota area and is moving toward the northeast.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the system is unlikely to develop into a more severe storm before hitting Florida, although it has a 20% chance of forming after it passes the state and enters the Atlantic Ocean.

This storm is the fourth the National Hurricane Center is monitoring this week, along with three tropical waves. These are located in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, the eastern Caribbean Sea and the south-central Caribbean Sea.

“While there is no sign of a tropical system forming and intensifying quickly, there is a chance that the downpours could organize enough to become a tropical system,” AccuWeather forecasters said.

Is a Tropical Storm or Hurricane Threatening Sarasota-Manatee?

The National Hurricane Center does not monitor tropical systems that are likely to develop into tropical storms or hurricanes. The system currently being monitored in the Gulf of Mexico, which is likely to impact Sarasota and Manatee counties over the next 48 hours, has a near 0% chance of forming before hitting Florida.

How much rain can Sarasota-Manatee expect in the next few days? Will there be floods?

Between 8 and 10 inches of rain could fall in northern Sarasota County between June 10 and 15, with more than 4 inches possible near North Port and Venice, according to the National Weather Service in Ruskin.

“It won’t all happen in one day, but there will be widespread storms and thunderstorms every day,” said Weather Service forecaster Ross Giarratana. “Every day there can be small concerns about flooding; We have to start the week well and be able to handle the rain well.”

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